We Plan for a Reason
A proven way of making a financial plan that is relevant and coherent to what we are seeking through life planning is lifetime cash-flow forecasting. If we look at a Lifetime Cash-flow Forecast, we can see events that we have been anticipating for quite some time: children heading off to college, home upgrades, family holidays and trips, later life care for your parents, and, of course, your own retirement.
Here’s why guiding you and your family through these life transitions is still the central focus of our planning, whatever is going on in Financial Markets and even during a significant bout of market volatility.
1. The Big Picture Is Always Brighter
Nobody could have predicted that a virus outbreak would disrupt global business right in the middle of Brexit and a contentious US presidential election cycle. But market history did tell us that the record-breaking bull market of 2009-2019 wasn’t going to last forever. What goes up eventually comes down (and vice versa!)
The further you pull back when you’re looking at market returns, the smaller today’s volatility looks, especially in comparison to big life transitions plotted on a 30 or 40-year Life Plan/Lifetime Cashflow Forecast. Continuing to work towards those events we can see coming is a much more effective strategy than trying to predict the next natural disaster, the next market downturn, or the next president.
2. You Have Options
While major market volatility is never about just one thing, the coronavirus is making it hard for companies around the world to buy raw materials from China and sell to Chinese customers. Stocks in the energy, travel, technology, and consumer goods sectors have been hit especially hard.
A well balanced portfolio is not overly invested in any one company or any one sector. Spreading out your assets across a wide variety of investments – including more stable government and corporate bonds and cash savings – provides some options during volatility. Diversification gives the means to scout for rebalancing opportunities when prices are low. It also provides reserves that you can tap if you need a little extra help weathering market fluctuations.
What’s going to guide the decisions we make during this market correction, and the next one? How are we going to decide which levers, if any, to pull, and which to leave alone?
3. Following Your Life Plan
We can’t plan for the next significant market shakeup. What we can do is use the tools at our disposal to keep you and your family on track to navigate your planned and unplanned Lifetime transitions and achieve your financial goals, no matter what’s going on outside of your home.
That’s why there’s no “one-size-fits-all” answer when folks wonder what they should do during a moment like this. The millennial who just started working and investing is at a very different point on his financial journey than the CEO eying retirement in the next five years. The couple planning to start their own business has different financial needs than the couple with three smart children all angling for “the best” schools. And the retiree planning to golf her way across the country probably doesn’t have the same concerns as the retiree whose husband is experiencing ongoing health problems.
These “what if” scenarios all require their own unique, personalised plans. Some folk will make the most progress towards their goals by sticking to their current saving and investing strategies, even as the markets are unsettled. Others might need to increase allocations to their cash reserves. And still others might look for “buy low” opportunities that will pay off in the long run. In each case, the client’s Life Planning Goals are our guide, not today’s headlines.
We can (and do) apply any “what if scenario” into our clients Lifetime Cashflow Forecast to explore the impact these may have on their overall Life Plan and make any adjustments necessary.
We understand that volatility can be worrying, especially if you’re nearing retirement or newly retired. If you’d like to review your most recent Lifetime Forecast (or indeed build one) please let us know. Whether news is good, bad, or somewhere in between, you can rely on our Life-Centred Planning process to keep your best interests first and your life goals in perspective.
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